Global Money Trends

Staying on Top of Volatile Global Markets

Sudden Sell-off in JGB’s puts a lid on Gold Rally

JGB Selloff rattles Gold

     As 2015 came to a close, most traders expected that 2016 would be a year dominated by a series of Fed rate hikes. That conviction solidified in late-December ’15; after the Fed delivered on its promise – and raised interest rates for the first time in almost a decade. In a widely telegraphed publication called the “Dots Plot,” the Fed signaled that it would continue to normalize its monetary policy, and raise interest rates by a total of +1% thru 2016; to a target of 1.375%, at a “gradual” pace and…

Aug 08, 2016

Currency War between ECB and Swiss Nat’l Bank continues

ECB vs SNB Currency War

    With no natural mineral resources, and a small population at just over 7.8-million, Switzerland depends on foreign trade for roughly half of its national income. Swiss manufacturers import bulky raw materials, processes them, and export most of their high-quality, finished goods. Thanks to the efforts of its highly skilled workforce; – the value of Switzerland’s exports has consistently exceeded the cost of its imports for more than a decade. In fact, in Feb ’16, Switzerland posted a record trade surplus of +Sfr-4-billion, with exports up +8% compared with a year earlier. That’s…

Jul 21, 2016

Traders detect Banking Crisis in Italy; buy Gold and Silver; Yield on Swiss 30-Yr Bond goes below Zero percent

Silver $20 Italy Banks

    Traders are used to operating in highly uncertain and volatile markets. There are so many moving parts, which makes forecasting the future so extremely difficult and hazardous. From day to day, the pendulum of market sentiment often swings from euphoria to depressive, but traders must keep their emotions under control. Uncertainties always exist. Even the brightest of analysts cannot predict future events, and more importantly, how investors will react to those events. So decisions must be made through judgment about the probabilities of potential outcomes, rather than doing predictive investing.

Jul 07, 2016

Vote for “Brexit” – against all Odds; knocks British Pound -11% lower vs US$ and -15% vs Japan’s yen; within Six hours

Brexit Pound updated

     Nigel Farage, the man whose party split the Tories and prompted the calls for referendum on the UK’s continued membership within the EU, had some choice words to say as he basked in the result. A majority of UK voters opted to exit from the European Union, – dubbed Brexit on June 24th. “The Vote to Leave has won without a ‘single bullet being fired’. ‘Today honesty, decency and belief in nation, is going to win,’ Farage said. “And we will have done it without a single bullet being fired,…

Jun 28, 2016

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